Will Nice win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?
Current price
0.05¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.05%
$10.7K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The outcome is clearly defined by official Ligue 1 results determining the champion for the 2026-27 season. The rules include an early resolution mechanism, meaning the market will resolve to No as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for Nice to win the title. If the season is cancelled or extended beyond June 14, 2027, without a declared winner, the market resolves to Other rather than remaining open indefinitely. Official Ligue 1 announcements serve as the primary decider, with reporting consensus available if needed.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Thin book — large orders will move this price. At the daily check: a spread of 5¢ or more (or none quoted), or less than $2K within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship per the rules of Ligue 1 (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from Ligue 1; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether OGC Nice will win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Nice wins the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship. The market resolves to No if at any point it becomes mathematically or structurally impossible for Nice to win the championship under Ligue 1 rules. The market resolves to Other if the season is cancelled, postponed past June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared by that deadline. Official information from Ligue 1 serves as the primary resolution source, with a consensus of credible reporting accepted as an alternative.
Key dates
- Postponement and resolution cutoff: — Market resolves to Other if the season is cancelled, postponed past this date at 11:59 PM ET, or if no champion is crowned.
Resolution source
Official information from Ligue 1, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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