Will Lyon win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?
Current price
2.3¢
+0.75¢ · 24h
Implied probability 2.3%
$58.6K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
Show less
This market resolves cleanly on whether Lyon wins the official Ligue 1 title for the 2026-27 season. The rules permit early resolution to No as soon as the team is mathematically eliminated from contention. A specific cutoff of June 14, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET handles cancellations or indefinite postponements by resolving to Other. The primary resolution source is official communication from the league, with credible media consensus available as a secondary reference.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship per the rules of Ligue 1 (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from Ligue 1; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Olympique Lyonnais (Lyon) will win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship. It features a specific cutoff condition resolving to Other if the season is canceled, delayed past June 14, 2027, or no winner is declared.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Lyon wins the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship. The market resolves to No if it becomes impossible for Lyon to win the championship per the rules of Ligue 1, including elimination. The market resolves to Other if the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared within that timeframe. The primary resolution source is official information from Ligue 1, with a consensus of credible reporting accepted as an alternative.
Key dates
- Postponement and cancellation deadline: — Market resolves to Other if the season is postponed past this time or no winner is declared.
Resolution source
Official information from Ligue 1 or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Community forecast
Community forecasting arrives with the forecast tools.