Will Monza win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?
Current price
0.15¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.15%
$18.2K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
Show less
The outcome is anchored to an unambiguous sports championship result, primarily decided by official Serie A league information with credible reporting as a secondary fallback. Participants should note the early resolution clause, which allows the market to resolve to No as soon as Monza is mathematically eliminated from winning the title, rather than waiting for the entire season to conclude. Additionally, if the season is cancelled, delayed past May 28, 2027, or no winner is crowned by that date, the market resolves to Other.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Serie A Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship per the rules of Serie A (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 Serie A season is cancelled, postponed after May 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from Serie A; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Monza will win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship. The market features early resolution to No upon mathematical elimination, as well as a fallback to Other if the season is cancelled or delayed past a specified deadline.
How it resolves
This market resolves to Yes if Monza wins the 2026-27 Serie A Championship. The market resolves to No if it becomes impossible for Monza to win the title under the rules of Serie A, such as elimination in the playoffs. The market resolves to Other if the season is cancelled, postponed past May 28, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared by that cutoff. The outcome is determined using official information from Serie A, or a consensus of credible reporting if necessary.
Key dates
- Season conclusion deadline: — The market resolves to Other if the season is postponed past this time or if no winner is declared.
Resolution source
Official information from Serie A or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Community forecast
Community forecasting arrives with the forecast tools.