Will Bologna win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?
Current price
0.7¢
−0.25¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.7%
$94.5K total volume · YES/NO
Medium gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The outcome depends clearly on official Serie A results, with an early resolution rule closing the market to No if mathematical elimination occurs. However, there is a fixed deadline of May 28, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET: if the season extends past this date or no winner is declared by then, the market resolves to Other rather than waiting for the season to finish. Position holders should be aware that standard European football seasons frequently conclude in late May or early June, meaning a normal scheduling timeline could potentially trigger the cancellation cutoff.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Med
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Serie A Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship per the rules of Serie A (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 Serie A season is cancelled, postponed after May 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from Serie A; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Bologna will win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship. It includes a specific cutoff date after which an incomplete or cancelled season resolves to a distinct Other outcome.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Bologna wins the 2026-27 Serie A Championship. The market resolves to No if it becomes impossible for Bologna to win the championship under the rules of Serie A, such as through elimination. The market resolves to Other if the season is cancelled, postponed past May 28, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared by that cutoff. Resolution is decided using official information from Serie A, or alternatively a consensus of credible reporting.
Key dates
- Season completion deadline: — If no winner is declared or the season is postponed beyond 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to Other.
Resolution source
Official information from Serie A, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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