Will Cagliari win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?
Current price
0.15¢
+0.05¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.15%
$32.1K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The market resolves straightforwardly based on the winner of the 2026-27 Serie A Championship, using official Serie A information as the primary source with reporting consensus as a backup. Participants should note the early resolution clause, which resolves the market to 'No' as soon as the team is mathematically eliminated from contention. Additionally, if the season is canceled, not completed, or postponed past May 28, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET without a declared champion, the market resolves to 'Other'.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Serie A Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship per the rules of Serie A (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 Serie A season is cancelled, postponed after May 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from Serie A; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Cagliari will win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Cagliari wins the 2026-27 Serie A Championship. The market resolves to No if it becomes mathematically or structurally impossible for Cagliari to win the championship under the rules of Serie A, such as elimination in playoffs. The market resolves to Other if the season is cancelled, postponed beyond the specified cutoff date, or if no winner is declared within that timeframe. Official information from Serie A decides the resolution, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Key dates
- Season Resolution Cutoff: — Market resolves to Other if the season is postponed past 11:59 PM ET on this date or if no winner is declared by then
Resolution source
Official information from Serie A, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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