Will Frosinone win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?
Current price
1.05¢
+0.1¢ · 24h
Implied probability 1.05%
$88.8K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market relies on official Serie A results to determine the champion of the 2026-27 season. Participants should note the early resolution clause, which allows the market to resolve to No as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for Frosinone to win the title under league rules. There is also a specific calendar cutoff: if the season is cancelled, postponed past May 28, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, or leaves no declared winner by that deadline, the market resolves to Other rather than waiting indefinitely. Resolution is straightforward and grounded in official league standings and announcements.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Serie A Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship per the rules of Serie A (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 Serie A season is cancelled, postponed after May 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from Serie A; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Frosinone will win the 2026–27 Serie A Championship. It features a provision resolving the market early if the team is eliminated or mathematically unable to win, and resolves to Other if the season is disrupted past the deadline.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Frosinone wins the 2026–27 Serie A Championship. The market resolves to No if it becomes impossible for Frosinone to win the championship under Serie A rules, including if they are eliminated in the playoffs. The market resolves to Other if the 2026–27 Serie A season is cancelled, postponed after May 28, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared within that timeframe. Resolution is decided by official information from Serie A, or secondarily by a consensus of credible reporting.
Key dates
- Season resolution cutoff: — The market resolves to Other if the season is postponed beyond this time, cancelled, or left without a declared winner.
Resolution source
Official information from Serie A, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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