Will Udinese win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?
Current price
0.05¢
−0.05¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.05%
$18.6K total volume · YES/NO
Medium gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The market resolves based on the official winner of the 2026-27 Serie A title, with official league data as the primary source and credible reporting as a backup. Participants should note two specific structural rules: the market can resolve to No early as soon as mathematical elimination occurs, and the entire market resolves to Other if the season is canceled, postponed, or concludes without a declared champion by May 28, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Because European football seasons sometimes conclude in late May or early June, any scheduling extension past this specific cutoff date would trigger the Other outcome regardless of on-pitch results.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Med
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Thin book — large orders will move this price. At the daily check: a spread of 5¢ or more (or none quoted), or less than $2K within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Serie A Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship per the rules of Serie A (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 Serie A season is cancelled, postponed after May 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from Serie A; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Udinese will win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship. It includes an unusual resolution outcome where the market can resolve to "Other" if the season is cancelled, postponed past a specific date, or left without a declared winner.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Udinese wins the 2026-27 Serie A Championship. The market resolves to No if it becomes mathematically or structurally impossible for Udinese to win the championship per Serie A rules, such as elimination in playoffs. The market resolves to Other if the 2026-27 Serie A season is cancelled, postponed after May 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared within that timeframe. Resolution decisions will be determined primarily using official information from Serie A, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Key dates
- Season resolution deadline: — Market resolves to Other if the season is postponed past this date, cancelled, or has no winner declared.
Resolution source
Official information from Serie A, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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