Will Parma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?
Current price
0.05¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.05%
$17.7K total volume · YES/NO
Medium gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market resolves based on the official winner of the 2026-27 Serie A Championship according to Serie A. Participants should note two specific mechanics: first, the market can resolve early to No as soon as Parma is mathematically eliminated or cannot win under league rules. Second, there is a fixed cutoff date of May 28, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET; if the season is delayed, extended past that date, or cancelled without an official winner declared by then, the market resolves to Other rather than waiting for the tournament to conclude. Primary resolution relies on official Serie A disclosures, with credible reporting available as a secondary reference.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Med
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Thin book — large orders will move this price. At the daily check: a spread of 5¢ or more (or none quoted), or less than $2K within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Serie A Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship per the rules of Serie A (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 Serie A season is cancelled, postponed after May 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from Serie A; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Parma will win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship. It includes a specific cutoff condition where the market resolves to Other if the season is cancelled, postponed beyond the specified deadline, or leaves no winner declared.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Parma wins the 2026-27 Serie A Championship. The market resolves to No if at any point it becomes impossible for Parma to win the championship under the rules of Serie A, such as through playoff elimination. The market resolves to Other if the 2026-27 season is cancelled, postponed after May 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared within that timeframe. Official information from Serie A serves as the primary resolution source, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Key dates
- Postponement and cancellation cutoff: — Market resolves to Other if the season is cancelled, postponed beyond 11:59 PM ET on this date, or has no declared winner by then.
Resolution source
Official information from Serie A, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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