Will Napoli win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?
Current price
1.7¢
−0.05¢ · 24h
Implied probability 1.7%
$33.1K total volume · YES/NO
Medium gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market resolves based on official Serie A results, with credible reporting as a backup. A key risk to monitor is the strict deadline of May 28, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET: European domestic football seasons or potential tie-breaker playoffs occasionally conclude in late May or early June, and if a champion is not officially crowned by this exact timestamp, the market resolves to Other rather than waiting for the season's conclusion. Additionally, positions may resolve early to No as soon as a club is mathematically eliminated from title contention.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Med
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Serie A Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship per the rules of Serie A (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 Serie A season is cancelled, postponed after May 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from Serie A; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether SSC Napoli will win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship. It includes a specific cutoff date of May 28, 2027, resolving to an Other outcome if the season is cancelled, extended, or without a declared winner by that deadline.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Napoli wins the 2026-27 Serie A Championship. The market resolves to No if it becomes impossible for Napoli to win the championship under the rules of Serie A, including elimination from contention. The market resolves to Other if the 2026-27 Serie A season is cancelled, postponed beyond May 28, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared within that timeframe. Resolution is decided using official information from Serie A, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Key dates
- Resolution Cutoff Date: — The market resolves to Other if the season is cancelled, postponed past 11:59 PM ET on this date, or has no declared winner.
Resolution source
Official information from Serie A, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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