Will Genoa win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?
Current price
0.1¢
−0.2¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.1%
$82.1K total volume · YES/NO
Medium gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The market clearly depends on whether Genoa wins the 2026-27 Serie A title, with official Serie A information serving as the primary source. However, participants should be aware of two specific mechanics: first, the market can resolve early to No as soon as the team is mathematically eliminated from contention. Second, there is a hard deadline of May 28, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET; if the season is delayed, postponed past this date, or concludes after it without an official champion declared, the market will resolve to Other rather than waiting for the season's conclusion.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Med
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Serie A Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship per the rules of Serie A (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 Serie A season is cancelled, postponed after May 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from Serie A; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Genoa will win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship. It includes a fallback resolution of Other if the season is cancelled, delayed past a specified deadline, or concludes without a declared winner.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Genoa wins the 2026-27 Serie A Championship. The market resolves to No if it becomes mathematically or rule-wise impossible for Genoa to win the title under Serie A rules, including playoff elimination. The market resolves to Other if the 2026-27 season is cancelled, postponed past May 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared within that timeframe. The outcome is decided using official information from Serie A, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Key dates
- Season resolution deadline: — Market resolves to Other if the season is postponed past this cutoff or no winner is declared.
Resolution source
Official information from Serie A, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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