Will Biljana Đorđević win the next Serbia presidential election?
Gotcha risk
Low1 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules clearly specify that the market resolves based on whether Biljana Đorđević wins the next Serbian presidential election, explicitly covering potential early elections or runoff rounds.
Read the full assessment
The rules clearly specify that the market resolves based on whether Biljana Đorđević wins the next Serbian presidential election, explicitly covering potential early elections or runoff rounds. Resolution primarily relies on a consensus of credible reporting, backed up by the Statistical Office of the Republic of Serbia if ambiguity arises. A definitive deadline is set for March 31, 2028, with a fallback to Other if results remain unresolved, leaving little room for unexpected outcomes.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Last captured price
<1%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
The next Serbian presidential election is currently expected to be held by May 1, 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next Serbian presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins the next Serbian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results of the election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Serbian government, specifically the Statistical Office of the Republic of Serbia (https://www.stat.gov.rs/).
Market explained
This market measures whether Biljana Đorđević will win the next Serbian presidential election, whether held on schedule or earlier, including any potential second round.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if Biljana Đorđević wins the next Serbian presidential election, including any potential second round. The market resolves No if another listed candidate wins. The market resolves to Other if election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2028, at 11:59 PM ET. Resolution is determined by a consensus of credible reporting. If ambiguity arises, official results reported by the Serbian government, specifically the Statistical Office of the Republic of Serbia, will decide the outcome.
Resolution source
Statistical Office of the Republic of Serbia
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·