Will Ohio State Buckeyes win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
Last captured price
16.5¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 16.5%
$52.6K total volume · YES/NO
Medium gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The outcome relies primarily on official NCAA announcements, backed by a consensus of credible media reporting. Anyone holding a position should note that the market can resolve early to No as soon as the team is eliminated from championship contention during the season. In the unlikely event of multiple declared champions, an alphabetical tie-breaker determines the winning selection. Furthermore, if the event is delayed beyond February 8, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or cancelled without a champion, the market resolves to a separate outcome rather than defaulting to standard Yes or No settlement.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the national champion of the 2026-27 College Football Playoff. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the national champion of 2026-27 NCAA Football Division 1 season per the rules of NCAA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after February 8, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the NCAA; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the Ohio State Buckeyes will win the 2026-27 College Football Playoff National Championship. If multiple winners are declared, resolution favors whichever team's listed name comes first alphabetically.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Ohio State Buckeyes are determined as the national champion of the 2026-27 College Football Playoff. If multiple teams are declared champions, the market resolves in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The market resolves to No if the team is eliminated, becomes impossible to be named champion under NCAA rules, or otherwise fails to win. The market resolves to Other if the event is cancelled, postponed beyond February 8, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, or no champion is declared by that time. Resolution is decided using official information from the NCAA, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Key dates
- Resolution Cutoff: — Market resolves to Other if postponed past this time or if no champion is declared by this deadline.
Resolution source
Official information from the NCAA, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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