Will Alabama Crimson Tide win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
Current price
4.35¢
−3.9¢ · 24h
Implied probability 4.35%
$68.3K total volume · YES/NO
Medium gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules allow for early negative resolution as soon as the team is mathematically or officially eliminated from championship contention. Participants should be aware of two unusual contingency rules: an alphabetical tie-breaker if multiple champions are declared, and a resolution to an 'Other' outcome if the championship is postponed past February 8, 2027, or if no winner is declared by that cutoff. While official NCAA data is the primary decider, the inclusion of a consensus of credible reporting introduces minor discretion.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- High
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the national champion of the 2026-27 College Football Playoff. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the national champion of 2026-27 NCAA Football Division 1 season per the rules of NCAA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after February 8, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the NCAA; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the Alabama Crimson Tide win the 2026-27 College Football Playoff National Championship. It includes tiebreaker rules based on alphabetical order and a fallback to 'Other' if resolution is delayed.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Alabama Crimson Tide is determined as the national champion of the 2026-27 College Football Playoff. If multiple teams are declared winners, the market resolves in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The market resolves to No if the team does not win, or as soon as it becomes impossible for the team to be named national champion per NCAA rules (such as being eliminated). The market resolves to Other if the event is cancelled, postponed past February 8, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, or if no champion is declared by that time. Resolution is decided by official information from the NCAA, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Key dates
- Postponement and resolution deadline: — Market resolves to Other if cancelled, postponed past this time, or if no champion is declared
Resolution source
Official information from the NCAA, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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