Will Texas A&M Aggies win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
Last captured price
0.15¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.15%
$56.5K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market resolves clearly based on whether Texas A&M wins the 2026-27 College Football Playoff National Championship. The rules allow for early resolution to 'No' as soon as the team is officially eliminated from title contention. A specific hard deadline of February 8, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET triggers a resolution to 'Other' if the championship is postponed or cancelled past that point. Additionally, an alphabetical tie-breaker applies if co-champions are declared. The primary resolution source is official information from the NCAA, though consensus reporting is permitted as a backup.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the national champion of the 2026-27 College Football Playoff. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the national champion of 2026-27 NCAA Football Division 1 season per the rules of NCAA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after February 8, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the NCAA; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the Texas A&M Aggies will win the 2026-27 College Football Playoff National Championship. It includes special resolution rules for multiple declared winners and a hard deadline triggering an Other resolution.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Texas A&M Aggies is determined as the national champion of the 2026-27 College Football Playoff. If multiple teams are declared winners, it resolves in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The market resolves to No if Texas A&M does not win, or if it becomes impossible for them to win per NCAA rules (such as being eliminated). The market resolves to Other if the event is cancelled, postponed after February 8, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, or if no champion is declared by that time. The resolution source is official information from the NCAA, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Key dates
- Postponement / Champion declaration deadline: — Event cancelled, postponed past this time, or lacking a declared champion by this point resolves to Other
Resolution source
Official information from the NCAA, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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