PolymarketCloses · in 163 daysPart of Pro Football: 2027 AFC Champion →

Will Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?

Current price

0.25¢

−0.1¢ · 24h

Implied probability 0.25%
$110.7K total volume · YES/NO

7-day range 0.25–0.35¢

Low gotcha risk

Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment

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The resolution rules clearly define the winning condition based on the winner of the 2027 AFC Championship Game, referencing official NFL information as the primary source. The market allows for early resolution to No if the team is eliminated prior to the championship game. In the event of cancellation or extended postponement beyond March 31, 2027, the market specifies resolution to Other. The terms are standard and straightforward for sports markets.

Wording ambiguity
Low
Source discretion
Low
Timing risk
Low
Exceptional clauses
Low

Liquidity

High tradability

Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.

Book depth $105.9K within 5¢ of mid
Price history range

Price history

Market price
0.2¢0.25¢0.3¢0.35¢0.4¢14:1622:1406:1314:11
0.2¢0.25¢0.3¢0.35¢0.4¢Oct 12Oct 14Oct 17Oct 19
0¢0.5¢1¢1.5¢2¢Jul 31Aug 27Sep 23Oct 19

Why it moved

No big moves in the last 7 days.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 AFC championship game. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL AFC championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2027 NFL AFC championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Rules history

Rules history is not displayed yet.

Market explained

This market measures whether the Miami Dolphins will win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship game.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 AFC championship game. The market resolves to No if it becomes impossible for the Miami Dolphins to win the 2027 NFL AFC championship under NFL rules, such as being eliminated in the playoffs. The market resolves to Other if the 2027 AFC championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or if no winner is declared within that timeframe. Official information from the NFL decides the outcome, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Key dates

  • Postponement deadline: — The market resolves to Other if the game is postponed past this date or no winner is declared.

Resolution source

NFL or a consensus of credible reporting

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

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