Will Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?
Current price
1.15¢
−0.05¢ · 24h
Implied probability 1.15%
$816.1K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
Show less
This market resolves based on the official winner of the 2027 AFC Championship Game as reported by the NFL. Participants should note the early resolution rule: if the team is mathematically or competitively eliminated from winning the conference title before the game is played, the market will resolve to No immediately rather than waiting for the game itself. There is also a definitive backstop resolving the market to Other if the game is cancelled or delayed past March 31, 2027.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 AFC championship game. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL AFC championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2027 NFL AFC championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the Indianapolis Colts will win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship game.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 AFC championship game. The market resolves to No if it becomes impossible for the team to win the championship per NFL rules, such as being eliminated in the playoffs. The market resolves to Other if the championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or if no winner is declared within that timeframe. Official information from the NFL is the primary resolution source, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Key dates
- Postponement cutoff date: — Market resolves to Other if the game is postponed beyond this date or no winner is declared.
Resolution source
NFL
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Community forecast
Community forecasting arrives with the forecast tools.