Will Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?
Current price
5.55¢
+1.85¢ · 24h
Implied probability 5.55%
$187.3K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The market has straightforward resolution criteria tied directly to the outcome of the 2027 NFL AFC Championship game. Resolution relies primarily on official information directly from the NFL website. The rules clearly specify that the market will resolve to No early if the team is eliminated from playoff contention, and establish a firm cutoff date of March 31, 2027, resolving to Other if the game is cancelled or postponed past that point.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 AFC championship game. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL AFC championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2027 NFL AFC championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the Houston Texans will win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship game.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Houston Texans win the 2027 AFC Championship game. The market resolves to No if at any point it becomes impossible for the Houston Texans to win the championship under NFL rules, such as being eliminated in the playoffs. The market resolves to Other if the game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or if no winner is declared within that timeframe. The primary deciding source is official information from the NFL, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Key dates
- Postponement cutoff date: — Market resolves to Other if the game is postponed past this date or no winner is declared by then.
Resolution source
Official information from the NFL or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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