Will Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?
Current price
6.95¢
−0.15¢ · 24h
Implied probability 6.95%
$261.1K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The outcome depends directly on the result of the 2027 AFC Championship game, verified through official NFL reporting. The rules include an early resolution clause allowing the market to settle to No as soon as the team is mathematically or competitively eliminated from winning the title. In the event the game is cancelled or postponed beyond March 31, 2027 without an official winner, the market resolves to Other rather than remaining open indefinitely.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 AFC championship game. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL AFC championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2027 NFL AFC championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the Cincinnati Bengals will win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship Game.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 AFC Championship Game. The market resolves to No if it becomes impossible for the Cincinnati Bengals to win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship under NFL rules, such as being eliminated during the playoffs. The market resolves to Other if the game is cancelled, postponed beyond March 31, 2027 ET, or if no winner is declared within that timeframe. Resolution is decided using official information from the NFL, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Key dates
- Postponement deadline: — The market resolves to Other if the game is cancelled, postponed past this date, or no winner is declared by this date.
Resolution source
NFL
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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