María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
0 live outcomes · $357K total volume
About this event
This event tracks whether Venezuelan political figure María Corina Machado will physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela on or before various specified deadline dates.
How the outcomes relate
The event consists of time-based threshold markets with different target dates. Because fulfilling an earlier deadline implies fulfilling later deadlines, more than one market can resolve Yes. Conversely, if she does not enter by a later date, all earlier markets will also resolve No.
How it resolves
A market resolves to Yes if María Corina Machado physically enters the terrestrial territory of Venezuela between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on the specified deadline date. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Entering Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory does not qualify for a Yes resolution. Resolution is determined by a consensus of credible reporting.
Key dates
- October deadline: — 11:59 PM ET
- December deadline: — 11:59 PM ET
Resolution source
A consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30? | — | — | Not rated | Med | Resolved |
| December 31 | — | — | Med | Med | Resolved |
| October 31 | — | — | Med | High | Resolved |
| October 15 | — | — | Not rated | — |