What will gas hit by end of November?
3 live outcomes · highest priced: ↑ $4.30 at 2% · first close Nov 30, 2026 · $62.6K total volume
About this event
This event tracks whether the US national average price of regular gasoline published by AAA reaches specific price thresholds during November 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific dollar threshold that the national average might hit or exceed.
How the outcomes relate
The event is structured as a ladder of price thresholds. Because each market resolves to Yes if the average gas price reaches or exceeds its target threshold at any point during November 2026, multiple markets can resolve Yes simultaneously if higher thresholds are reached.
How it resolves
A market resolves to Yes if the US national average price of regular gasoline published by AAA is equal to or above the specified price for any date from November 1, 2026, through November 30, 2026; otherwise, it resolves to No. Data is taken from the AAA gas prices website under the National Average Gas Prices table, Regular column, Current Avg. row. Each date's price is observed around 10:00 AM ET (or later if update conditions are not initially met) and evaluated without rounding. If dates are missing, resolution relies on remaining dates.
Key dates
- Observation period starts: — First day of the observation period for AAA gas prices.
- Observation period ends: — Final day of the observation period for AAA gas prices.
Resolution source
American Automobile Association (AAA)
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ $4.30 | 2% | — | Low | Low | |
| ↑ $4.40 | 1% | — | Low | Med | |
| ↑ $4.45 | <1% | — | Low | Low | |
| ↑ $4.35 | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| ↑ $4.25 | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| ↑ $4.20 | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| ↓ $4.15 | — | — | Not rated | — | Resolved |
| ↓ $4.10 | — | — | Not rated | — | Resolved |
| ↓ $4.05 | — | — | Not rated | — | Resolved |
| ↓ $4.00 | — | — | Not rated | — | Resolved |
| ↓ $3.95 | — | — | Not rated | — | Resolved |
| ↓ $3.90 | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| ↓ $3.85 | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| ↑ $4.15 | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| ↓ $3.80 | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| ↑ $4.10 | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| ↓ $3.75 | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| ↑ $4.05 | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| ↓ $3.70 | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| ↑ $4.00 | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| ↓ $3.65 | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| ↑ $3.95 | — | — | Not rated | — |