Which of these people will be impeached first by the end of 2027?

This event tracks which listed individual will be the first to have articles of impeachment passed against them by the United States House of Representatives by the end of 2027. Markets represent individual candidates as well as an outcome for nobody being impeached.

How the outcomes relate

The event is structured as a mutually exclusive set of outcomes where each market corresponds to a specific listed individual, alongside a "Nobody" option. Exactly one market can resolve Yes, as the resolution designates either the single first listed individual to be impeached or "Nobody" if none are impeached.

How it resolves

A market resolves Yes if its specified individual is the first listed person to be the subject of articles of impeachment passed by the U.S. House of Representatives between market creation and December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Trial, Senate conviction, and removal from office are not required. Articles passed against unlisted individuals are ignored. If multiple listed individuals are impeached simultaneously, the individual whose last name is first alphabetically wins. If no listed individual is impeached by the deadline, "Nobody" resolves Yes.

Key dates

• End date: Dec 31, 2027 — December 31, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET

Resolution source

Information from the federal government of the United States, or a consensus of credible reporting

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash · 10 Nov 2026, 01:29 UTC