Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
1 live outcome · highest priced: The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping at <1% · first close Feb 1, 2027 · $401.2K total volume
About this event
This event tracks which film will achieve the highest domestic opening week box office gross among all movies released in 2026. Each market evaluates whether a specific film will take the top opening week spot.
How the outcomes relate
The event consists of individual markets for different film titles. Because resolution depends on which movie grosses more than any other movie in 2026, and ties are broken alphabetically, at most one market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
A market resolves to Yes if its named movie grosses more domestically during its opening week than any other movie released in 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to No. If another film's finalized opening week gross exceeds the named film's finalized gross, the market may immediately resolve to No. Ties are resolved in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. If data is unavailable by the final deadline, another credible source will be chosen.
Key dates
- Data availability deadline: — If final data is not available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolution source
The Numbers (Weekly Box Office Performance table)
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Dune: Messiah | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Spider-Man: Brand New Day | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Avengers: Doomsday | — | — | Not rated | — |