TX-28 House Election Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Henry Cuellar (D) at 91% (−1 pts in 24h) · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $13.4K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the race for the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives during the 2026 midterm elections, measuring which political party will win the seat.
How the outcomes relate
The event consists of individual markets for political parties competing for the same congressional seat. Because the market resolves according to the party of the single winning candidate, at most one party market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
A market resolves to Yes if a candidate affiliated with that political party wins the TX-28 congressional district seat in the 2026 midterm elections; otherwise, it resolves to No. A candidate's party is determined by their ballot-listed affiliation or by their most recently expressed intent to caucus when all 2026 House elections are called. Resolution is decided by a consensus of credible reporting, with official results from the Federal Election Commission serving as the fallback if ambiguity arises.
Key dates
- Election Day: — The 2026 midterm elections take place.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, or the Federal Election Commission
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Cuellar (D) | 91% | ▼ 1 | Low | Med | |
| Tano Tijerina (R) | 9% | ▲ 2 | Low | Med |