TX-26 House Election Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Brandon Gill (R) at 96% · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $63.4K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election for Texas's 26th congressional district (TX-26), measuring which political party's candidate will win the seat.
How the outcomes relate
The event contains distinct markets representing political parties competing for the same congressional seat. Because a single candidate wins the district seat, only one party market can resolve Yes, while the others will resolve No.
How it resolves
Each market resolves to Yes if the candidate affiliated with the specified political party wins the TX-26 House seat in the 2026 midterm elections. Party affiliation is determined by ballot listing, identifiable affiliation, or expressed caucus intent at the time all 2026 House elections are conclusively called. Markets resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting, with official Federal Election Commission (FEC) results serving as the sole source if ambiguity arises.
Key dates
- 2026 Midterm Elections: — Date of the midterm elections
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, or the Federal Election Commission (FEC) in case of ambiguity
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Gill (R) | 96% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Steven Shook (D) | 3% | ±0 | Low | Med |