TX-02 House Election Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Steve Toth (R) at 93% · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $31.4K total volume
About this event
This event covers the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election for Texas's 2nd Congressional District (TX-02). Its markets track which political party's candidate will win the seat in the midterm elections.
How the outcomes relate
Each market corresponds to a specific political party. Because only one candidate can win the TX-02 congressional seat, at most one market can resolve Yes, while the other market will resolve No.
How it resolves
A market resolves to Yes if the candidate affiliated with the specified political party wins the TX-02 U.S. House seat in the 2026 midterm election; otherwise, it resolves to No. Party affiliation is determined by ballot listing, identifiable affiliation, or expressed intent to caucus at the time all 2026 House elections are called. Resolution is decided by a consensus of credible reporting, or by official Federal Election Commission results if ambiguity exists.
Key dates
- Election Day: — Date of the 2026 midterm elections.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, with the Federal Election Commission (FEC) as the official fallback.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Toth (R) | 93% | — | Low | Med | |
| Shaun Finnie (D) | 7% | ±0 | Low | High |