Trump meets with Putin by...?
2 live outcomes · highest priced: December 31 at 96% (+3 pts in 24h) · first close Dec 1, 2026 · $503.2K total volume
About this event
This event tracks whether Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin have an in-person meeting by specific deadline dates, measuring whether a direct encounter occurs between market creation and the end of each specified time window.
How the outcomes relate
The event consists of a timeline of threshold deadlines. Because the markets cover cumulative windows starting from market creation, more than one market can resolve Yes; specifically, if a meeting occurs prior to an earlier deadline, both that market and later deadline markets will resolve Yes.
How it resolves
Each market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump meets with Vladimir Putin between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, it resolves to No. A meeting requires both individuals to be present and directly interact in person, such as through an exchange of words, a handshake, or direct conversation. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or attending the same event without direct interaction does not qualify. Resolution is determined by a consensus of credible reporting.
Key dates
- November 30 deadline: November 30 at 11:59 PM ET (year not specified in text)
- December 31 deadline: December 31 at 11:59 PM ET (year not specified in text)
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 96% | ▲ 3 | Low | High | |
| November 30 | 95% | ▲ 2 | Med | Med | |
| Trump meets with Putin by September 30? | — | — | Med | Med | Resolved |
| October 31 | — | — | Not rated | — | Resolved |