Trump meets with Putin by September 30?
Outcome
No
Polymarket resolved this market to No.
No price before the listed close date
- 7 days before
- 24 hours before
- 1 hour before
Counted back from the listed close date, ; price capture stops 6 hours after it. Midpoint prices known at each point; implied probability in cents. Times in UTC.
Medium gotcha risk
Gotcha risk at close — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly define what qualifies as a meeting, specifying that direct personal interaction such as a handshake, conversation, or exchange of words is required, while merely sharing a room or making eye contact is insufficient. However, resolution depends on evaluating a consensus of credible reporting rather than consulting a specific official source or direct photographic confirmation. If an encounter is brief, unrecorded, or reported with conflicting details by different outlets, resolution will depend on how the decider interprets the balance of media reports.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- High
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Why it moved before close
No moves were explained in the 7 days before the listed close date.
Market explained before close
This market measures whether Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin have an in-person meeting with direct personal interaction by September 30.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump meets with Vladimir Putin in person between market creation and September 30 at 11:59 PM ET. A qualifying meeting requires both individuals to be present and engage in clear personal interaction, such as a direct conversation, exchange of words, or a handshake. Merely being present in the same room or event, standing in proximity, or making eye contact without direct interaction does not qualify. The market resolves to No if no qualifying meeting occurs by the deadline. A consensus of credible reporting decides the outcome.
Key dates
- End date: September 30 at 11:59 PM ET
Resolution source
A consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Resolution rules at close
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Vladimir Putin between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Trump and Putin are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
About this page
A record of how this market resolved. The prices, analysis and rules shown here come from data Brierpoint captured or generated before close.