TN-09 House Election Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Brent Taylor (R) at 88% · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $46.8K total volume
About this event
This event tracks which political party or candidate will win the U.S. House of Representatives seat for Tennessee's 9th congressional district (TN-09) in the 2026 midterm elections.
How the outcomes relate
The event consists of individual markets for competing parties or candidates running for the TN-09 House seat. Because only one candidate can win the single congressional seat, at most one market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
Each market resolves according to the political party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 seat in the 2026 midterm elections. A candidate's party is determined by their ballot-listed or identifiable affiliation when all 2026 House elections are conclusively called. Candidates without a ballot affiliation to the Republican or Democratic parties will be classified by their most recently expressed caucus intent. Resolution is based on a consensus of credible reporting, or solely on official results from the Federal Election Commission if ambiguity arises.
Key dates
- 2026 midterm elections: — Date the midterm elections take place.
Resolution source
A consensus of credible reporting, with the Federal Election Commission as the source if there is ambiguity
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brent Taylor (R) | 88% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Justin Pearson (D) | 14% | ▲ 1 | Low | High |