Rhode Island Senate Election Winner
1 live outcome · highest priced: Raymond McKay (R) at 1% · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $26.6K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 Rhode Island U.S. Senate election. Markets measure which political party or candidate will win the seat, accounting for potential party nominees, replacements, and run-offs.
How the outcomes relate
The event consists of individual markets for political parties and candidates competing in the election. Because only one winner can be elected to the single Senate seat, at most one market can resolve Yes, while the others will resolve No.
How it resolves
Markets resolve based on the winner of the 2026 Rhode Island U.S. Senate election, including any run-offs. A market for a party resolves Yes if that party's nominee wins the election; otherwise, it resolves No. If a named candidate is replaced as the party's nominee before election day, the market follows the replacement nominee. Resolution occurs once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all call the race for the same candidate. If these sources do not reach a consensus call, the market resolves according to official certification.
Key dates
- Election year: The year of the midterm Rhode Island U.S. Senate election. Date as stated: 2026.
Resolution source
Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC (or official certification if no consensus call)
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raymond McKay (R) | 1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Jack Reed (D) | — | — | Low | Med |