Pete Hegseth impeached by...?
3 live outcomes · highest priced: June 30, 2027 at 62% (−4 pts in 24h) · first close Jan 1, 2027 · $714.8K total volume
About this event
This event tracks whether United States Secretary of War Pete Hegseth will be impeached by the US House of Representatives on or before specific deadline dates.
How the outcomes relate
The event consists of a timeline ladder of target dates. More than one market can resolve Yes; for instance, an impeachment occurring before an earlier deadline will satisfy both that deadline and all subsequent, later deadlines.
How it resolves
A market resolves to Yes if the US House of Representatives passes or approves one or more articles of impeachment against Pete Hegseth by a simple majority vote between market creation and the specified deadline at 11:59 PM ET. Senate trial, conviction, or removal is not required. A market resolves to No if the deadline passes without impeachment, or immediately to No if Hegseth permanently vacates the office before the criteria for Yes are met.
Key dates
- December 31, 2026 deadline: — 11:59 PM ET resolution deadline for the December 31, 2026 market
- June 30, 2027 deadline: — 11:59 PM ET resolution deadline for the June 30, 2027 market
Resolution source
Information from the federal government of the United States, or a consensus of credible reporting.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30, 2027 | 62% | ▼ 4 | Med | Med | |
| March 31, 2027 | 51% | ▼ 8 | Med | Med | |
| December 31, 2026 | 3% | ▲ 1 | Med | High |