PA-14 House Election Winner
1 live outcome · highest priced: Alan Bradstock (D) at 3% (+1 pts in 24h) · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $41.9K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election for Pennsylvania's 14th congressional district. Markets measure which political party or candidate wins the congressional seat in the midterm elections.
How the outcomes relate
Each market corresponds to a political party competing for the PA-14 House seat. Because only one candidate wins the congressional district seat, at most one party market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
A market resolves Yes if the winning candidate represents the specified party. Candidate party affiliation is based on ballot listing or identifiable affiliation when all 2026 House races are called; candidates without ballot affiliation to the Democratic or Republican parties are assigned based on their most recently expressed intent to caucus. Resolution is decided by a consensus of credible reporting, with official Federal Election Commission results used if there is ambiguity.
Key dates
- Midterm Election Day: — Date of the 2026 midterm elections.
Resolution source
A consensus of credible reporting, or the Federal Election Commission (FEC) if there is ambiguity
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alan Bradstock (D) | 3% | ▲ 1 | Low | Med | |
| Guy Reschenthaler (R) | 96% | ±0 | Low | High |