PA-08 House Election Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Paige Cognetti (D) at 73% (+1 pts in 24h) · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $20.9K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election for Pennsylvania's 8th congressional district, measuring which political party or candidate will win the seat.
How the outcomes relate
Each market represents a specific political party or candidate competing for the single congressional seat. Since only one candidate can win the seat, at most one market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
A market resolves to Yes if the candidate affiliated with the specified party wins the PA-08 U.S. House seat in the 2026 midterm elections; otherwise, it resolves to No. Party affiliation is determined by ballot listing, identifiable affiliation, or expressed intent to caucus when all House elections are called. Resolution is decided by a consensus of credible reporting, or by official Federal Election Commission results if ambiguity arises.
Key dates
- Midterm Election Day: — Date of the 2026 midterm elections.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, or the Federal Election Commission
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paige Cognetti (D) | 73% | ▲ 1 | Low | Med | |
| Rob Bresnahan (R) | 28% | ±0 | Low | High |