PA-07 House Election Winner
1 live outcome · highest priced: Ryan Mackenzie (R) at 14% · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $35.4K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 election for the U.S. House of Representatives in Pennsylvania's 7th congressional district (PA-07). Markets measure which political party or candidate will win the congressional seat in the 2026 midterm elections.
How the outcomes relate
Markets correspond to specific political parties competing for the same single congressional seat. Since only one candidate can win the PA-07 House seat in the election, at most one party market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
Each market resolves to Yes if the candidate affiliated with the specified party wins the PA-07 House seat in the 2026 midterm elections. Party affiliation is determined by ballot listing, identifiable affiliation, or expressed intent to caucus when all 2026 House races are called. Resolution is decided by a consensus of credible reporting, or by official Federal Election Commission results if ambiguity exists.
Key dates
- 2026 Midterm Election Day: — The midterm elections take place on November 3, 2026.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, with the Federal Election Commission as the fallback official source.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mackenzie (R) | 14% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Bob Brooks (D) | 87% | ±0 | Low | Med |