PolymarketEvent1 live of 2 outcomes

OH-01 House Election Winner

1 live outcome · highest priced: Eric Conroy (R) at 5% · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $52.7K total volume

About this event

This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election for Ohio's 1st congressional district (OH-01), measuring which political party or candidate will win the seat.

How the outcomes relate

The event contains markets representing different political parties competing for the same congressional seat. Because a single representative is elected to the district seat, only one party outcome can resolve Yes, while the others resolve No.

How it resolves

Markets resolve Yes for the party of the candidate who wins the OH-01 congressional district seat in the 2026 midterm elections. Party affiliation is determined by ballot listing or identifiable affiliation when all 2026 House elections are conclusively called. If a candidate lacks a listed affiliation for Democrats or Republicans, affiliation is determined by their most recently expressed intent to caucus. Resolution is decided by a consensus of credible reporting, or by official results from the Federal Election Commission if ambiguity arises.

Key dates

  • Midterm election date: — The 2026 midterm elections take place.

Resolution source

Consensus of credible reporting, with the Federal Election Commission as the fallback source for official results

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Outcomes for OH-01 House Election Winner
OutcomePrice24hGotcha riskTradabilityCloses
Eric Conroy (R)5%±0LowMed
Greg Landsman (D)94%±0LowMed

Highest-priced outcome

Eric Conroy (R) · 7 daysRange 4–12%