NV-03 House Election Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Susie Lee (D) at 95% · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $11.9K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election for Nevada's 3rd congressional district (NV-03). Markets measure which political party or candidate wins the seat in the midterm elections.
How the outcomes relate
The event consists of individual markets for political parties or candidates competing for the NV-03 House seat. Because a single candidate wins the congressional district seat, at most one market representing the winning party can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
Each market resolves to Yes if the candidate affiliated with the specified party wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the 2026 midterm elections. Party affiliation is determined by ballot listing, identifiable affiliation, or expressed intent to caucus when elections are called. Resolution is based on a consensus of credible reporting, with official results from the Federal Election Commission serving as the source if ambiguity arises.
Key dates
- Midterm Election Day: — The 2026 midterm elections take place.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, with the Federal Election Commission as the fallback source for official results in case of ambiguity.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Susie Lee (D) | 95% | — | Med | Med | |
| Martin O'Donnell (R) | 5% | ▼ 1 | Low | Med |