PolymarketEvent2 live of 2 outcomes

NV-01 House Election Winner

2 live outcomes · highest priced: Dina Titus (D) at 96% (+1 pts in 24h) · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $35.1K total volume

About this event

This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election for Nevada's 1st Congressional District (NV-01). Markets measure which political party or candidate will win the congressional seat in the midterm elections.

How the outcomes relate

Each market corresponds to a specific political party's candidate winning the single NV-01 congressional district seat. Because only one candidate can win the seat, at most one market can resolve Yes.

How it resolves

Each market resolves to Yes if the winning candidate belongs to the specified party in the 2026 midterm elections; otherwise, it resolves to No. Party affiliation is determined by ballot listing, identifiable affiliation, or expressed intent to caucus when elections are conclusively called. Resolution is based on a consensus of credible reporting, with official Federal Election Commission results used if there is ambiguity.

Key dates

  • Midterm election date: — The 2026 midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

Resolution source

A consensus of credible reporting, or the Federal Election Commission (FEC) if there is ambiguity.

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Outcomes for NV-01 House Election Winner
OutcomePrice24hGotcha riskTradabilityCloses
Dina Titus (D)96%▲ 1LowHigh
Carrie Buck (R)4%—LowMed

Highest-priced outcome

Dina Titus (D) · 7 daysRange 95–96%