NH-01 House Election Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Stefany Shaheen (D) at 97% (+2 pts in 24h) · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $52.4K total volume
About this event
This event tracks which political party or candidate will win the U.S. House of Representatives seat for New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District (NH-01) in the 2026 midterm elections.
How the outcomes relate
Each market corresponds to a specific political party seeking to win the single congressional district seat. Because only one candidate can win the election for the district, at most one market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
Each market resolves to Yes if the candidate winning the NH-01 seat in the 2026 midterm elections belongs to the specified party, and No otherwise. Party affiliation is determined by ballot listing or identifiable affiliation when all 2026 House races are called; candidates without a listed major-party affiliation are assigned based on their most recently stated caucus intent. Resolution is decided by a consensus of credible reporting, with official Federal Election Commission (FEC) results serving as the sole source if ambiguity arises.
Key dates
- 2026 Midterm Elections: — Election day for the NH-01 congressional district race.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, with the Federal Election Commission as the fallback for ambiguous results
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefany Shaheen (D) | 97% | ▲ 2 | Low | Med | |
| Anthony DiLorenzo (R) | 3% | ±0 | Low | Med |