NC-08 House Election Winner
1 live outcome · highest priced: Colby Watson (D) at 4% · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $57.5K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election for North Carolina's 8th congressional district (NC-08). Markets correspond to political parties competing to win the seat.
How the outcomes relate
Each market corresponds to a specific political party. Since only one winning candidate and affiliated party will be elected to the single NC-08 House seat, at most one market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
Each market resolves to Yes if the candidate affiliated with the specified party wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the 2026 midterm elections; otherwise, it resolves to No. A winning candidate's party is determined by their ballot-listed or identifiable affiliation, or by their most recently expressed intent to caucus if not listed as Democrat or Republican. Outcomes are determined by a consensus of credible reporting, with official Federal Election Commission results serving as the sole resolution source if ambiguity arises.
Key dates
- Election Day: — The 2026 midterm elections take place.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, with official Federal Election Commission (FEC) results as the definitive source in case of ambiguity.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colby Watson (D) | 4% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Mark Harris (R) | 95% | ±0 | Low | Med |