NC-05 House Election Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Virginia Foxx (R) at 87% · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $46K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the North Carolina's 5th congressional district (NC-05) race in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections, measuring which political party or candidate will win the seat.
How the outcomes relate
Each market corresponds to a specific political party winning the seat. Because a single congressional seat is won by one candidate representing a party, at most one market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
Each market resolves to Yes if the candidate affiliated with that market's designated party wins the NC-05 House seat in the 2026 midterm elections. Party affiliation is determined by ballot listing or identifiable affiliation when all 2026 House elections are conclusively called; candidates without explicit affiliation are assigned based on their most recently expressed caucus intent. Resolution is determined by a consensus of credible reporting, or by official results from the Federal Election Commission if there is ambiguity.
Key dates
- Election Day: — Date of the 2026 midterm elections.
Resolution source
A consensus of credible reporting, or the Federal Election Commission if ambiguous
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia Foxx (R) | 87% | — | Low | Med | |
| Chuck Hubbard (D) | 12% | ±0 | Low | Med |