MO-05 House Election Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Emanuel Cleaver (D) at 97% · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $80.1K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 election for the U.S. House of Representatives seat in Missouri's 5th congressional district (MO-05). Markets measure which political party or candidate will win the seat.
How the outcomes relate
Each market represents a specific political party competing for the same congressional seat. Because the seat is awarded to a single winning candidate, only one party market can resolve Yes, while the others resolve No.
How it resolves
Each market resolves to Yes if the candidate affiliated with the specified party wins the MO-05 seat in the 2026 midterm elections; otherwise, it resolves to No. Affiliation is based on ballot listing or stated intent to caucus when all 2026 House elections are conclusively called. Resolution is determined by a consensus of credible reporting, or by official results from the Federal Election Commission if ambiguity exists.
Key dates
- Election Day: — Midterm elections take place on November 3, 2026.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, with the Federal Election Commission as the fallback source for official results
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emanuel Cleaver (D) | 97% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Rick Brattin (R) | 3% | ±0 | Low | Med |