MN-05 House Election Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Ilhan Omar (D) at 96% (−1 pts in 24h) · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $73.5K total volume
About this event
This event tracks which party will win the election for Minnesota's 5th congressional district (MN-05) seat in the U.S. House of Representatives during the 2026 midterm elections. Each market corresponds to a specific political party.
How the outcomes relate
Each market represents a specific political party vying for the single MN-05 House seat. Because only one candidate wins the congressional seat, at most one market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
Each market resolves to Yes if a candidate affiliated with that specific party wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the 2026 midterm elections. A candidate's party is determined by ballot affiliation or, for unaffiliated candidates, their most recently stated intent to caucus when all 2026 House elections are conclusively called. Resolution is determined by a consensus of credible reporting, or by official Federal Election Commission results if ambiguity arises.
Key dates
- 2026 Midterm Elections: — Date of the election for the MN-05 House seat.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, with the Federal Election Commission as the official fallback.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilhan Omar (D) | 96% | ▼ 1 | Low | Med | |
| John Nagel (R) | 4% | ▲ 1 | Low | Med |