MN-02 House Election Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Matt Little (D) at 95% · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $64K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election for Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District (MN-02), measuring which political party will win the seat.
How the outcomes relate
The event contains distinct markets for different political parties competing for the same congressional seat. Because a single seat is contested, at most one party market can resolve Yes based on the winning candidate's affiliation.
How it resolves
Each market resolves Yes if the candidate winning the MN-02 House seat in the 2026 midterm elections is affiliated with the specified party, and No otherwise. Affiliation is determined by ballot listing or stated caucus intent when all 2026 House elections are called. Resolution is decided by a consensus of credible reporting, with official Federal Election Commission (FEC) results serving as the sole source if ambiguity arises.
Key dates
- Midterm Election Day: — The date when the 2026 midterm elections take place.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, or the Federal Election Commission (FEC) if ambiguous
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Little (D) | 95% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Eric Pratt (R) | 4% | ±0 | Low | Med |