MN-01 House Election Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Brad Finstad (R) at 75% (−1 pts in 24h) · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $56.1K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election for Minnesota's 1st Congressional District (MN-01), measuring which political party or affiliated candidate will win the seat.
How the outcomes relate
The event contains markets representing different political parties or candidates competing for a single congressional seat. Since only one candidate can win the seat, at most one party market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
A market resolves to Yes if the candidate winning the MN-01 congressional district seat is affiliated with the specified party, either via ballot listing, identifiable affiliation, or expressed intent to caucus at the time elections are called. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Resolution is determined by a consensus of credible reporting, or by official results from the Federal Election Commission (FEC) if ambiguity arises.
Key dates
- Election Day: — The 2026 midterm elections take place.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, or the Federal Election Commission (FEC)
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Finstad (R) | 75% | ▼ 1 | Low | Med | |
| Jake Johnson (D) | 27% | ▲ 1 | Low | Med |