MI-07 House Election Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: William Lawrence (D) at 63% (+1 pts in 24h) · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $38.3K total volume
About this event
This event tracks which political party or candidate will win the U.S. House of Representatives seat for Michigan's 7th congressional district in the 2026 midterm elections. Each market measures whether a specific party's candidate secures the seat.
How the outcomes relate
Each market corresponds to a specific political party seeking to win the MI-07 seat. Because only one candidate can win the single congressional seat, at most one market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
Each market resolves to Yes if a candidate affiliated with that specific political party wins the MI-07 House seat in the 2026 midterm elections. Party affiliation is determined by ballot listing or identifiable affiliation when all House races are conclusively called, or by the party they most recently expressed intent to caucus with if unaffiliated. Resolution is determined by a consensus of credible reporting, or by official Federal Election Commission results if there is ambiguity.
Key dates
- 2026 midterm elections: — Date of the midterm elections
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, or the Federal Election Commission
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Lawrence (D) | 63% | ▲ 1 | Low | Med | |
| Tom Barrett (R) | 36% | ▼ 1 | Low | Med |