MI-04 House Election Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Bill Huizenga (R) at 50% (+1 pts in 24h) · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $16K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 election for the U.S. House of Representatives in Michigan's 4th congressional district. Its markets measure which political party or associated candidate will win the seat.
How the outcomes relate
Each market corresponds to a specific political party or candidate competing for the seat. Because a single congressional seat is won by one candidate representing one party, at most one market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
A market resolves to Yes if the candidate affiliated with that market's party wins the MI-04 House seat in the 2026 midterm elections; otherwise, it resolves to No. Party affiliation is determined by ballot listing or identifiable affiliation when all 2026 House races are called, or by expressed caucus intent for unaffiliated candidates. Resolution relies on a consensus of credible reporting, with official Federal Election Commission results used if there is ambiguity.
Key dates
- Election Day: — Date of the 2026 midterm elections.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, or the Federal Election Commission (FEC) if there is ambiguity
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bill Huizenga (R) | 50% | ▲ 1 | Low | Med | |
| Sean McCann (D) | 50% | ±0 | Low | High |