MI-03 House Election Winner
1 live outcome · highest priced: Hillary Scholten (D) at 95% · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $57.9K total volume
About this event
This event covers the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election for Michigan's 3rd Congressional District (MI-03). Its markets measure which political party's candidate will win the seat in the midterm elections.
How the outcomes relate
The event contains individual markets corresponding to political parties competing for the single congressional seat. Because only one winning candidate and affiliated party can be elected to represent the district, at most one market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
Each market resolves to Yes if the candidate affiliated with the specified political party wins the MI-03 seat in the 2026 midterm elections; otherwise, it resolves to No. A candidate's party is determined by their ballot listing or identifiable affiliation when elections are called, or by expressed caucus intent if unaffiliated. Resolution is decided by a consensus of credible reporting, with official results from the Federal Election Commission used in cases of ambiguity.
Key dates
- Election Day: — The date the 2026 midterm elections take place.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, with the Federal Election Commission as the fallback authority.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hillary Scholten (D) | 95% | ±0 | Med | High | |
| Terri DeBoer (R) | 4% | ±0 | Low | Med |