MI-01 House Election Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Jack Bergman (R) at 88% · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $24K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 election for the U.S. House of Representatives seat in Michigan's 1st Congressional District (MI-01). Markets measure which political party will win the seat.
How the outcomes relate
Each market corresponds to a specific political party competing for the congressional seat. Since only one party will win the election for the MI-01 district, at most one market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
A market resolves to Yes if the candidate affiliated with the specified party wins the MI-01 seat in the 2026 midterm elections; otherwise, it resolves to No. Party affiliation is determined by ballot listing, identifiable affiliation, or expressed caucus intent at the time all House elections are called. Resolution is decided by a consensus of credible reporting, with official Federal Election Commission (FEC) results serving as the source if ambiguity arises.
Key dates
- Election Day: — The 2026 midterm elections take place.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, or the Federal Election Commission
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Bergman (R) | 88% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Callie Barr (D) | 11% | ±0 | Low | High |