ME-02 House Election Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Paul LePage (R) at 63% · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $37.2K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 election for the U.S. House of Representatives seat in Maine's 2nd congressional district (ME-02). Markets measure which political party or candidate will win the election.
How the outcomes relate
Each market represents a specific political party seeking to win the single congressional seat. Since only one candidate can win the ME-02 House seat in the election, at most one market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
A market resolves to Yes if a candidate affiliated with the specified party wins the ME-02 U.S. House seat in the 2026 midterm elections; otherwise, it resolves to No. Party affiliation is determined by ballot listing, identifiable affiliation, or stated intent to caucus when all 2026 House races are called. Resolution is determined by a consensus of credible reporting, or by official Federal Election Commission results if ambiguity exists.
Key dates
- 2026 Midterm Election Day: — The date when the 2026 midterm elections take place.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, with the Federal Election Commission as the official fallback.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul LePage (R) | 63% | ±0 | Med | High | |
| Matthew Dunlap (D) | 39% | ±0 | Low | High |