KY-06 House Election Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Ralph Alvarado (R) at 66% (+1 pts in 24h) · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $59.4K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election for Kentucky's 6th congressional district (KY-06). Markets measure which political party will win the seat in the midterm elections.
How the outcomes relate
The event consists of separate party-specific markets representing potential winning parties. Each market asks if a specific party will win the KY-06 seat. Because only one winning candidate takes the seat, only one party outcome can resolve Yes, provided the winner is affiliated with or caucuses with one of the specified parties.
How it resolves
Each market resolves to Yes if the candidate winning the KY-06 congressional district seat in the 2026 midterm elections is affiliated with the specified political party. A candidate's party is determined by their ballot-listed affiliation or, if not listed, by their most recently expressed intent to caucus when all House elections are called. Resolution is determined by a consensus of credible reporting, or by official results from the Federal Election Commission if ambiguity arises.
Key dates
- Election Day: — The 2026 midterm elections take place.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, or the Federal Election Commission (FEC)
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ralph Alvarado (R) | 66% | ▲ 1 | Low | Med | |
| Zach Dembo (D) | 35% | ±0 | Med | Med |