PolymarketEvent2 live of 2 outcomes

KS-02 House Election Winner

2 live outcomes · highest priced: Derek Schmidt (R) at 87% · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $20.3K total volume

About this event

This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election for Kansas's 2nd Congressional District (KS-02), measuring which political party will win the seat.

How the outcomes relate

Each market corresponds to a specific political party competing for the congressional seat. Since only one candidate can win the single House seat, at most one market can resolve Yes.

How it resolves

A market resolves to Yes if the candidate affiliated with that political party wins the KS-02 U.S. House seat in the 2026 midterm elections; otherwise, it resolves to No. Party affiliation is determined by ballot listing, identifiable affiliation, or expressed caucus intent at the time all 2026 House elections are conclusively called. Resolution is decided by a consensus of credible reporting, or by official Federal Election Commission (FEC) results if there is ambiguity.

Key dates

  • Election Day: — Date of the 2026 midterm elections.

Resolution source

Consensus of credible reporting, or official results from the Federal Election Commission (FEC)

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Outcomes for KS-02 House Election Winner
OutcomePrice24hGotcha riskTradabilityCloses
Derek Schmidt (R)87%±0LowHigh
Don Coover (D)14%±0LowHigh

Highest-priced outcome

Derek Schmidt (R) · Since Oct 17Range 86–87%